NEXUS follows the conflicts, chokepoints and sanctions behind your exposure every hour, and dates and sources every development. When a client or your board asks what it means, the timeline, the analysis and the odds are already in one place.
State of play
Latest developments
The platform
Briefing someone on a crisis takes three things: hearing about it early, explaining it with evidence, and saying what is likely to happen next. NEXUS keeps all three in one place.
Live trackers follow the stories your clients and leadership care about: Hormuz and the Red Sea, Iran, Ukraine, Taiwan, tariffs, oil. Every development lands on a dated timeline with its source, and an alert reaches you when something material moves.
A daily briefing on what changed and why it matters. When the follow-up question comes, the AI analyst answers it from NEXUS data with the sources attached, so you can put your name to the answer.
Game-theory models show how the actors are likely to move and which thresholds would change the picture. Prediction-market odds and NEXUS forecasts sit alongside, so the outlook comes with numbers.
Try the analyst
Type the question you expect in your next meeting. This public preview answers from the live trackers and links each answer to its timeline. Five free questions a day.
Inside NEXUS the analyst goes further, across the trackers, market data, scenario models and the forecast record, so you can work a question through to a view you can defend.
Get the full analystScenario models
Every crisis is a strategic game. NEXUS models the players, their options and their payoffs, then finds the stable outcomes and the thresholds where things escalate.
When a wartime threshold is crossed, the scenario updates and the strategies built on the old picture are flagged, so your view keeps pace with events.
How the scenario models workWho can move, what each can do, and what it costs them.
Nash equilibria and focal points: where the game is likely to settle.
The triggers that change the game, watched live and flagged when crossed.
Who it is for
If clients, a board or a team rely on you to explain what a strait closing, a sanction or an election means for them, NEXUS does the watching and the groundwork.
Sourced, hour-by-hour monitoring of the regions your clients operate in, ready to turn into a client note.
The regional picture behind travel, site and staff decisions, with alerts when it changes.
Chokepoints, sanctions and conflict risk on your routes, before they reach your schedule.
The geopolitical context behind your positions, with prediction-market odds alongside.
Everything in one workspace
Behind the trackers sits a full research workspace: live maps, market data, sentiment, scenario models and the AI analyst. Connect your broker and prediction-market accounts to see and manage positions next to the risks you are tracking.
Ask anything. The analyst works from NEXUS data with dozens of research tools and shows where each answer came from.
Aircraft, shipping, conflict events and OSINT on one live map.
Geopolitical, market and OSINT signals scored and converged, with news sentiment across sources.
Prices, heatmaps, watchlists, options gamma, on-chain data and macro series from FRED.
Game-theory models of the actors in each crisis, with escalation thresholds watched live.
NEXUS probabilities next to Polymarket and Kalshi prices, scored when they resolve.
Trading 212, Interactive Brokers, IG, Alpaca, Coinbase and Polymarket. See and manage positions in one place.
Alerts by email or Telegram when a tracked story or signal moves, plus scheduled automations.
A daily intelligence briefing and exportable reports your team can act on.
Held to account
NEXUS states a probability before the outcome, sets it against prediction markets, and scores it when the deadline passes. Every forecast stays public, misses included, so you can decide how much weight to give it. The record is young: read the scores with their sample sizes.
See the full track recordA claim, a probability and a deadline, recorded first.
Set against the prediction-market price where one exists.
Checked against sourced evidence when the deadline arrives.
Scored with the Brier score and fed back into calibration.
Membership
Start with the trackers, briefings and analyst for the regions you cover. Move up for market data and account connections, or talk to us about team access and white-label briefings.
Prices and billing periods shown above reflect the current published plans.
Already have an account? Review accessGood questions
A closer look at the evidence, the learning process and your access.
Explore the full FAQStart with the region you get asked about most