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NEXUS

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NEXUS

Connect world events to market decisions. Research the evidence, test your thesis, and follow the outcome.

A polyxmedia product

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Track Record

MISSBrier 0.244

Data-resolved: USD/CAD moved from 1.38 to 1.40 (1.27%) during 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-21. Target: below 1.37. Target not reached. Low was 1.38.

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Market

SHORT wrongUSD/CAD

USD/CAD will trade at least 1% below its current level on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $1.37, 1% from $1.38 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-07 at 49% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-09-21. Brier score 0.244.

Confirmed sustained Brent >$90 and Hormuz disruption pattern support petro-currency strength (CAD) versus USD, consistent with the wartime oil-price war-premium already validated in prior USO/Brent confirmations.

Probability: 49%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Sep 218d ago
Made: Sep 7

Price Target$1.37

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

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