Alphabet (GOOGL) will close at least 5% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $331.92, 5% from $349.39 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-15 at 70% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-09-29.

Probability

70%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Sep 29today

Made

Sep 15

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.