Market
LONGHONPendingHoneywell (HON) will close at least 5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 30 days (target above $220.09, 5% from $209.61 at creation)
NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-07 at 44% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-07.
Taiwan Strait confirmed US economic deterrence measures (export controls, tariffs against China per wire-confirmed FCC/Xinjiang actions) benefit defense-adjacent industrial suppliers with diversified non-China order books.
- Probability
- 44%
- Timeframe
- 30 days
- Deadline
- Oct 7in 8d
- Made
Price Target$220.09
Regimewartime
Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.