MISSBrier 0.215

Data-resolved: PFE moved from 28.45 to 27.66 (-2.78%) during 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-21. Target: above 29.3. Target not reached. High was 28.19.

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Market

LONG wrongPFE

Pfizer (PFE) will close at least 3% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $29.30, 3% from $28.45 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-07 at 46% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-09-21. Brier score 0.215.

Defensive-sector rotation thesis under risk-off regime (Fear & Greed 38, VIX data unavailable creating volatility-hedging demand into low-beta healthcare names) supports relative outperformance versus the broader oversold tape.

Probability: 46%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Sep 2125d ago
Made: Sep 7

Price Target$29.3

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

Pfizer (PFE) will close at least 4% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $28.85, 4% from $27.74 at creation)

market79%MISS

See the full intelligence picture

This forecast came from multi-layer signal analysis. Access the platform to see the signals, analysis and evidence behind every call.

Start Free Trial View Track Record

Weekly Intelligence Brief

Free geopolitical-market analysis. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Pfizer (PFE) will close at least 3% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $29.30, 3% from $28.45 at creation)

Related Forecasts

See the full intelligence picture