Pfizer (PFE) will close at least 3% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $29.30, 3% from $28.45 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-07 at 46% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-09-21. Brier score 0.215.

Defensive-sector rotation thesis under risk-off regime (Fear & Greed 38, VIX data unavailable creating volatility-hedging demand into low-beta healthcare names) supports relative outperformance versus the broader oversold tape.

Probability

46%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Sep 218d ago

Made

Sep 7

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.