Qualcomm (QCOM) will close at least 6% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $165.82, 6% from $176.40 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-10 at 17% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-09-24. Brier score 0.030.

Taiwan Strait Bayesian critical fracture risk and the Nash equilibrium flagging technology as a key affected sector argue for downside in Taiwan-supply-chain-exposed semiconductor names not already covered in the pending prediction set.

Probability

17%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Sep 245d ago

Made

Sep 10

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.