Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) will close at least 5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $300.23, 5% from $285.93 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-07 at 26% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-09-21. Brier score 0.069.

Derived from confirmed naval escalation dynamics in both the Strait of Hormuz (tanker seizures, mine incidents) and Taiwan Strait (PLA naval activity surge), increasing sentiment for naval shipbuilding and defense-adjacent orders.

Probability

26%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Sep 218d ago

Made

Sep 7

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.