Salesforce (CRM) will close at least 6% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $228.42, 6% from $243.00 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-11 at 46% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-09-25. Brier score 0.208.

QQQ RSI of 28.4 and MACD histogram -3.621 signal deep tech-sector capitulation with no fundamental catalyst for reversal per thesis; enterprise software valuations are among the most rate/growth sensitive within the tech complex amid risk-off conditions.

Probability

46%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Sep 254d ago

Made

Sep 11

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.