Every workflow starts
with the same signal gap.
Whether you manage a multi-billion fund or trade your own capital, the problem is the same: geopolitical events move prices before the analysis reaches you. NEXUS closes that gap for every type of operator.
You trade on world events. NEXUS systematises the research.
Scenario
Sanctions regime tightens on a major oil exporter. You need to know which sectors are exposed, how options flow is responding, and whether military posture changes confirm escalation or signal a bluff.
Signal Detection
NEXUS picks up the GEO layer signal (sanctions draft), cross-references with MKT layer (energy futures term structure inverting), and flags an OSINT anomaly (tanker traffic diverging from normal routes).
Convergence Scoring
Three primary layers aligning within 48 hours triggers a high-confidence convergence event. The system scores it non-linearly based on layer independence.
AI Thesis
The synthesis engine produces a thesis: energy sector exposure, affected tickers, probability estimate, and the timeframe before consensus catches up.
Prediction + Execution
A falsifiable prediction is generated with a Brier-scored probability. You can execute directly from the platform when broker integrations are live.
Outcome
You had the structured thesis 6-12 hours before the analyst consensus. The prediction is tracked, scored, and feeds back into the system.
Your portfolio is exposed to geopolitics whether you trade on it or not.
Scenario
A military escalation in a region that supplies critical rare earth minerals to your portfolio companies. Your risk models don't capture this. By the time it hits Bloomberg, the drawdown has started.
Continuous Monitoring
NEXUS runs 24/7 across conflict zones, tracking military movements, diplomatic shifts, and OSINT feeds. You don't have to watch the feeds yourself.
Alert System
Custom alerts fire when convergence events touch sectors or tickers in your watchlist. Configurable thresholds so you only see what matters to your book.
Game Theory Analysis
Scenario modelling shows escalation probability, de-escalation triggers, and which actors have incentives to negotiate. Not just what happened, but what is likely to happen next.
Risk Assessment
Regime detection flags when the macro environment shifts from peacetime to transitional to wartime. Your exposure analysis adjusts to the current regime.
Outcome
Lead time to adjust positions before the event reaches mainstream coverage. Documented risk assessment for LP reporting.
You understand the signals. NEXUS connects them to market consequences.
Scenario
You've been tracking a diplomatic deterioration for weeks. You know the trajectory. What you don't have is a systematic way to quantify the market impact, track your analytical accuracy, or show clients when you were right.
OSINT Integration
Military flight tracking, shipping lane monitoring, GDELT event feeds, and social sentiment all flow into one interface. No more tabbing between 15 different data sources.
Prediction Framework
Turn your analysis into scored predictions. Binary outcomes, defined timeframes, probability assigned. Your track record is measured, not estimated.
Accuracy Tracking
Brier scoring, calibration curves, and resolution rates. See exactly how well-calibrated your probability estimates are over time. Share your track record with clients.
AI Red Team
The AI challenges your thesis with counter-arguments and alternative scenarios. Stress-test your reasoning before you publish it.
Outcome
Quantified analytical track record. Every call documented, scored, and attributable. Your expertise is measurable.
Institutional-grade signal intelligence at a fraction of the cost.
Scenario
You read the news and wonder what it means for your positions. By the time retail-focused outlets cover geopolitical events, the move has already happened. You're always reacting, never anticipating.
News Intelligence
RSS feeds, GDELT events, and OSINT data synthesised into a daily briefing. Cut through the noise and see only what is moving markets or about to.
Signal Alerts
Get notified when multiple independent signal layers converge on the same event. No more guessing which headlines matter.
AI Analyst Chat
Ask questions in natural language. The AI analyst has access to every signal, every prediction, every data source in the platform. Like having a geopolitical desk analyst on call.
Prediction Markets
See the platform's live predictions with probability estimates and track records. Follow the signal, not the noise.
Outcome
The same signal infrastructure that institutional desks keep in-house, accessible from a single interface for a monthly subscription.
Client-ready intelligence reports backed by quantified signals.
Scenario
Your clients need geopolitical risk assessments for investment decisions, supply chain planning, or operational security. Manual research is slow and doesn't scale. Your analysts spend more time collecting data than analysing it.
War Room
Interactive map with real-time layers: military aircraft tracking, OSINT event overlays, shipping routes, conflict zone boundaries. Visual briefings your clients can understand.
Multi-Layer Signals
Every assessment is backed by data from multiple independent sources. GEO, MKT, OSI, and systemic risk layers provide the evidence base for your recommendations.
Scenario Planning
Game theory engine models actor incentives, escalation trajectories, and de-escalation triggers. Present clients with structured scenarios, not speculation.
Entity Graph
Knowledge bank with entity relationships. Map connections between actors, organisations, events, and financial instruments. Build the intelligence picture your clients need.
Outcome
Faster turnaround on client deliverables. Evidence-backed assessments that stand up to scrutiny. Scalable intelligence production.
Every use case above runs on the same core infrastructure. Here is what powers it.
4 Signal Layers
GEO, MKT, OSI, Systemic Risk
Scored Predictions
Brier scoring, auto-resolution
AI Synthesis
Claude-powered analysis pipeline
War Room
Real-time OSINT map with aircraft tracking
Game Theory
Actor incentive modelling
Smart Alerts
Convergence-triggered notifications
Trading Integration
Execute from the same interface
Knowledge Bank
Entity graph with embeddings
See it working on your own watchlist.
2 days free. Full access to every signal layer, every AI tool, every module. The best way to evaluate NEXUS is to use it on a scenario you already care about.
OBSERVER $49.99/mo // OPERATOR $99.99/mo // INSTITUTION $199/mo