GBP/USD will trade below 1.3080 by October 31, 2026.

NEXUS forecast made 2026-10-01 at 55% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-31.

Derived from: the risk-off thesis, the Fed game's hawkish-hold outcome and GBP/USD's 1.32 reference rate.

Probability

55%

Timeframe

30 days

Deadline

Oct 31in 18d

Made

Oct 1

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.