Eli Lilly (LLY) will close at least 4% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $1211.49, 4% from $1164.89 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-22 at 71% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-06.

Risk-off regime driving defensive capital rotation, consistent with the recently confirmed MRK and MRNA defensive-rotation predictions; healthcare has outperformed in the current fear-zone environment (F&G 38).

Probability

71%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Oct 6in 7d

Made

Sep 22

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.