FCX (Freeport-McMoRan) will close at least 6% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days as broad risk-off equity conditions and weakening copper demand expectations compress industrial metals miners (target below $67.25, 6% from $71.54 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-21 at 75% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-05.

Thesis risk_off regime, deeply oversold equity technicals (SPY RSI 27.3, QQQ RSI 28.4) with no fundamental catalyst; cross-asset copper/gold ratio deterioration signal

Probability

75%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Oct 5in 6d

Made

Sep 21

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.