Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) will close at least 8% below its current price on at least one trading day within 30 days (target below $10.85, 8% from $11.79 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-16 at 78% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-16.

Confirmed XME (metals/mining ETF) breakdown below $115.88 and the fragile China Property/Stimulus Bayesian equilibrium point to sustained pressure on steel-linked industrial names under continued risk-off conditions.

Probability

78%

Timeframe

30 days

Deadline

Oct 16in 17d

Made

Sep 16

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.