Thai Baht (USD/THB) will weaken past 36.50 on at least 3 trading days within 30 days as ASEAN shipping route disruptions and tourism sector exposure to Middle East conflict create current account pressures
NEXUS forecast made 2026-03-24 at 59% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-04-23. Brier score 0.346.
Derived from: Knowledge bank shows Red Sea Houthi shipping disruptions and Live Intelligence on Strait Hormuz closures. Thailand's tourism-dependent economy faces dual exposure to regional conflict and shipping cost inflation.
- Probability
- 59%
- Timeframe
- 30 days
- Deadline
- Apr 23159d ago
- Made
Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.