Gold's safe-haven bid amid an 80% geopolitical escalation score and Iran-nuclear Fearon failure (0% bargaining range) should flow through to gold miner equities with operating leverage beyond GLD itself, which is already covered by existing predictions.

Probability: 81%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Oct 5in 6d
Made: Sep 21

Price Target$129.58

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

Related Forecasts

NEM (Newmont) will close at least 7% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $137.06, 7% from $128.09 at creation)

market37%MISS

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