NEM (Newmont) will close at least 7% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $137.06, 7% from $128.09 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-06 at 37% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-09-21. Brier score 0.139.

GLD confirmed above $415 amid Iran-nuclear Fearon bargaining failure (0% range) and sustained wartime safe-haven demand; gold miners typically show leveraged beta to spot gold moves.

Probability

37%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Sep 209d ago

Made

Sep 6

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.