Meta Platforms (META) will close at least 5% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $704.19, 5% from $741.25 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-22 at 83% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-06.

Derived from QQQ technical capitulation (RSI 28.4, MACD histogram -3.621, price at lower Bollinger Band) with the thesis explicitly noting oversold conditions lack a fundamental catalyst for sustained recovery — mega-cap tech remains exposed to continued risk-off flows.

Probability

83%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Oct 6in 7d

Made

Sep 22

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.