Deere & Company (DE) will close at least 5% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days as trade-war escalation risk and broad risk-off conditions pressure export-exposed industrials (target below $650.49, 5% from $684.73 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-22 at 70% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-06.

US-China Trade War Fearon failure combined with confirmed risk-off regime (Fear & Greed 38, SPY/QQQ deep oversold with no fundamental catalyst)

Probability

70%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Oct 6in 7d

Made

Sep 22

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.