Confirmed risk-off regime, 80% geopolitical escalation risk score, and multiple Fearon bargaining failures (Iran-nuclear, US-China trade) argue for renewed crypto risk-asset drawdown pressure, contrasting with the recent BTC bounce above $84k.

Probability: 85%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Oct 9in 10d
Made: Sep 25

Price Target$79,000

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

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BTC (Bitcoin) will close above $80,000 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

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