Distinct catalyst from prior resolved USD/JPY 30-day prediction: renewed risk-off wartime conditions (80% escalation score, Taiwan Strait fragile equilibrium, Hormuz 67% escalation probability) historically drive yen appreciation as a funding-currency unwind during equity fear extremes (F&G 38).

Probability: 85%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Sep 30in 1d
Made: Sep 16

Price Target$153

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

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USD/JPY will trade below 153.00 on at least one trading day within 30 days.

market41%HIT

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