HITBrier 0.213

Early-confirmed: ETH hit target above 2650 on 2026-09-11. Current price: 2523.00 (started at 2488.55).

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Market

LONG correctETH

Ethereum (ETH) will trade above $2,650 on at least one day within 14 days.

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-06 at 54% probability. Resolved: Hit on 2026-09-13. Brier score 0.213.

Bayesian Crypto Regulatory Clarity model shows two stable bullish equilibria (institutional accumulation, 70% confidence), and BTC's recent surge from 63,895 to 79,879 suggests risk-asset correlation supports continued ETH strength off its current 2,488.55 base.

Probability: 54%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Sep 209d ago
Made: Sep 6

Price Target$2,650

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

ETH (Ethereum) will close below $2,350 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market42%MISS

ETH will close at least 7% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days as the bullish Crypto Regulatory Clarity Bayesian equilibrium (institutional accumulation) drives a counter-trend rally decoupled from broader risk-off equities (target above $2813.39, 7% from $2629.34 at creation)

market81%

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Ethereum (ETH) will trade above $2,650 on at least one day within 14 days.

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