Platinum futures will close above $1,020 per ounce on at least 4 trading days within 30 days as wartime regime status and confirmed Iranian infrastructure attacks drive precious metals complex rotation beyond gold

NEXUS forecast made 2026-03-17 at 6% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-04-24. Brier score 0.004.

Derived from: Wartime regime classification, knowledge bank showing Iranian drone and missile hits on regional oil fields, and 30-day timeframe optimal performance (Brier 0.212), with platinum historically following gold during geopolitical stress

Probability

6%

Timeframe

30 days

Deadline

Apr 16166d ago

Made

Mar 17

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.