Costco (COST) will close at least 4% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days as defensive consumer-staples rotation continues amid confirmed risk-off equity conditions (target above $934.42, 4% from $898.48 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-22 at 84% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-06.

Confirmed risk-off regime, Fear & Greed 38, SPY/QQQ RSI capitulation without fundamental catalyst supporting defensive rotation

Probability

84%

Timeframe

14 days

Deadline

Oct 6in 7d

Made

Sep 22

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.