Boeing (BA) will close at least 5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $208.11, 5% from $198.20 at creation)
NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-19 at 68% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-03.
Red-team counterargument that SPY/QQQ RSI extremes (27.3/28.4, 3rd percentile historically) typically precede short-term relief rallies; Boeing selected as a high-beta industrial/defense name likely to participate disproportionately in a technical mean-reversion bounce.
- Probability
- 68%
- Timeframe
- 14 days
- Deadline
- Oct 3in 4d
- Made
Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.