HITBrier 0.023

Early-confirmed: WMT hit target above 109.93 on 2026-09-22, 2026-09-23. Current price: 108.94 (started at 106.73).

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Market

LONG correctWMT

Walmart (WMT) will close at least 3% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $109.93, 3% from $106.73 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-21 at 85% probability. Resolved: Hit on 2026-09-24. Brier score 0.023.

Risk-off regime with F&G at 38 and technical capitulation on growth indices (SPY/QQQ RSI sub-30) favors defensive staples rotation; this single-stock claim is distinct from the already-covered XLP sector ETF position.

Probability: 85%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Oct 5in 6d
Made: Sep 21

Price Target$109.93

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

Walmart (WMT) will close at least 3% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $104.36, 3% from $107.59 at creation)

market83%

Walmart (WMT) will close at least 4% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $111.43, 4% from $107.14 at creation)

market52%MISS

See the full intelligence picture

This forecast came from multi-layer signal analysis. Access the platform to see the signals, analysis and evidence behind every call.

Start Free Trial View Track Record

Weekly Intelligence Brief

Free geopolitical-market analysis. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

Walmart (WMT) will close at least 3% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $109.93, 3% from $106.73 at creation)

Related Forecasts

See the full intelligence picture