Risk-off regime (F&G 38, confirmed bearish trend) and 80% overall escalation risk score argue for continued downside pressure on large-cap indices, tempered by red-team's valid oversold-bounce counterpoint which caps confidence below 0.45.

Probability: 85%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Oct 2in 3d
Made: Sep 18

Price Target$510

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

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