Derived from: the Red Sea Shipping Crisis game-theory scenario, which identifies continued Houthi support and shipping as the affected sector. The direction is uncertain because disruption can also raise freight rates.

Probability: 44%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Oct 20in 7d
Made: Oct 6

Price Target$27.77

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

Related Forecasts

ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping) will close at least 6% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $31.91, 6% from $30.10 at creation)

market60%MISS

ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping) will close at least 6% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $26.87, 6% from $28.58 at creation)

market33%MISS

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