Citigroup (C) will close at least 4% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $130.73, 4% from $136.18 at creation)
NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-15 at 76% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-09-29.
Derived from wartime risk-off regime and Fed policy uncertainty (zero stable Bayesian equilibria in Fed Rate Cycle Pivot scenario) pressuring rate-sensitive financials amid elevated volatility.
- Probability
- 76%
- Timeframe
- 14 days
- Deadline
- Sep 29today
- Made
Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.