WFC (Wells Fargo) will close at least 4% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $78.62, 4% from $81.90 at creation)
NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-24 at 85% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-08.
Risk-off regime confirmed by Fear & Greed at 38 and deeply negative MACD on SPY/QQQ; credit-sensitive financials typically underperform first in oversold risk-off tapes, consistent with HYG softness noted in the technicals layer.
- Probability
- 85%
- Timeframe
- 14 days
- Deadline
- Oct 8in 9d
- Made
Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.