COIN (Coinbase) will close at least 5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $203.96, 5% from $194.25 at creation)
NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-21 at 85% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-05.
Bayesian Crypto Regulatory Clarity equilibrium (bullish, 2 equilibria, institutional accumulation) already confirmed via BTC clearing $81,500 and $80,000 thresholds within 14 days; COIN typically amplifies BTC moves as a levered crypto-equity proxy.
- Probability
- 85%
- Timeframe
- 14 days
- Deadline
- Oct 5in 6d
- Made
Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.