Derived from: the thesis's risk-off regime and elevated-volatility outlook. The thesis also reports weak gold technical indicators, limiting conviction in a gold-miner rise.

Probability: 59%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Nov 5in 23d
Made: Oct 6

Price Target$119.29

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

Related Forecasts

Newmont (NEM) will close at least 5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $129.58, 5% from $123.41 at creation)

market81%MISS

NEM (Newmont) will close at least 7% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $137.06, 7% from $128.09 at creation)

market37%MISS

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