SLV (iShares Silver Trust) will close above $62.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-21 at 68% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-05.

Hormuz escalation probability 67% and Iran-nuclear Fearon bargaining failure (0% range) support elevated precious-metals safe-haven demand; GLD's regime-adjusted 14d expected move (±2.9%) implies correlated upside for SLV as risk-off deepens.

Probability: 68%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Oct 5in 6d
Made: Sep 21

Price Target$62

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

SLV (iShares Silver Trust) will close below $57.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market17%HIT

SLV (silver ETF) will close above $62.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market29%MISS

SLV will underperform GLD by at least 4% on a cumulative basis within 14 days as capital rotates toward gold-specific safe-haven positioning over industrially-linked silver amid wartime risk-off conditions.

market13%MISS

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SLV (iShares Silver Trust) will close above $62.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

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