HITBrier 0.690

Early-confirmed: SLV hit target below 57 on 2026-09-14. Current price: 57.06 (started at 59.82).

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Market

SHORT correctSLV

SLV (iShares Silver Trust) will close below $57.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-08 at 17% probability. Resolved: Hit on 2026-09-15. Brier score 0.690.

Derived from: industrial-demand exposure of silver amid wartime risk-off deceleration in global growth expectations, in contrast to the gold-specific safe-haven bid, extending the divergence theme from the previously denied SLV/GLD relative-performance prediction.

Probability: 17%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Sep 227d ago
Made: Sep 8

Price Target$57

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

SLV (silver ETF) will close above $62.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market29%MISS

SLV (iShares Silver Trust) will close above $62.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market68%

SLV will underperform GLD by at least 4% on a cumulative basis within 14 days as capital rotates toward gold-specific safe-haven positioning over industrially-linked silver amid wartime risk-off conditions.

market13%MISS

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SLV (iShares Silver Trust) will close below $57.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

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