MISSBrier 0.172

Data-resolved: QQQ moved from 718.96 to 714.88 (-0.57%) during 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-14. Target: above 726. Target not reached. High was 721.89.

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Market

LONG wrongQQQ

QQQ will close above 726.00 on at least one trading day within 7 days

NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-07 at 41% probability. Resolved: Miss on 2026-09-14. Brier score 0.172.

Derived from QQQ RSI 28.4 capitulation-zone reading and lower-Bollinger-Band touch cited in the BUY QQQ contrarian trading action (confidence 45%); target sits within the 7d expected-move envelope (711.90-726.02).

Probability: 41%
Timeframe: 7 days
Deadline: Sep 1415d ago
Made: Sep 7

Price Target$726

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

QQQ will close below $705.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market45%HIT

QQQ will close below $540.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days, extending the tech-sector risk-off move from the current $558.28 level.

market5%MISS

QQQ will close above $750.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days as oversold RSI (28.4) triggers a technical mean-reversion bounce.

market85%

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QQQ will close above 726.00 on at least one trading day within 7 days

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