COP will close at least 3% above its price at prediction creation on at least one trading day by November 10, 2026 (target above $138.12, 3% from $134.10 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-10-11 at 65% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-11-10.

The specified BUY WTI action provides the directional oil signal, while the Strait of Hormuz Bayesian analysis assigns 67% escalation probability. The oil action's 45% confidence, negative MACD, and absence of a confirmed supply disruption constrain this forecast.

Probability: 65%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Nov 10in 27d
Made: Oct 11

Price Target$138.12

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

ConocoPhillips (COP) will close at least 6% above its current price on at least one trading day within 7 days as wartime oil-risk pricing intensifies around the Strait of Hormuz (target above $135.18, 6% from $127.53 at creation)

market47%MISS

ConocoPhillips (COP) will close at least 6% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $142.32, 6% from $134.26 at creation)

market36%MISS

See the full intelligence picture

This forecast came from multi-layer signal analysis. Access the platform to see the signals, analysis and evidence behind every call.

Start Free Trial View Track Record

Weekly Intelligence Brief

Free geopolitical-market analysis. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

COP will close at least 3% above its price at prediction creation on at least one trading day by November 10, 2026 (target above $138.12, 3% from $134.10 at creation)

Related Forecasts

See the full intelligence picture