RTX will close at least 3% above its price at prediction creation on at least one trading day by November 24, 2026 (target above $196.74, 3% from $191.01 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-10-25 at 67% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-11-24.

Derived from the active Russia–Ukraine war backdrop and the Bayesian Taiwan Strait assessment's 53% escalation probability; the supplied signals identify defense as an affected sector.

Probability: 67%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Nov 24in 30d
Made: Oct 25

Price Target$196.74

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

RTX will close at least 3% above its price at prediction creation on at least one trading day by November 6, 2026 (target above $188.79, 3% from $183.29 at creation)

market56%HIT

RTX (Raytheon/RTX Corp) will close at least 5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $203.70, 5% from $194.00 at creation)

market61%MISS

RTX (Raytheon/RTX Corp) will close at least 5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $210.83, 5% from $200.79 at creation)

market37%

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RTX will close at least 3% above its price at prediction creation on at least one trading day by November 24, 2026 (target above $196.74, 3% from $191.01 at creation)

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