Benjamin Netanyahu will be the next Prime Minister of Israel under the resolution criteria of Polymarket market 682705 on October 28, 2026.
NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-30 at 35% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-10-28.
Derived from: Polymarket market 682705, priced at 34% YES. The supplied intelligence provides no stronger succession signal, so the difference from the crowd is modest.
- Probability
- 35%
- Timeframe
- 30 days
- Deadline
- Oct 28in 28d
- Made
Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.