Derived from: the elevated-volatility, risk-off thesis and the US Treasury Supply Crisis game-theory scenario's higher-term-premium outcome for financials.

Probability: 62%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Nov 5in 23d
Made: Oct 6

Price Target$866.66

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

Related Forecasts

Goldman Sachs (GS) will close at least 5% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $894.90, 5% from $942.00 at creation)

market82%HIT

Goldman Sachs (GS) will close at least 4% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $1080.15, 4% from $1038.61 at creation)

market38%MISS

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