LQD will close below $102.70 on at least one trading day by November 15, 2026.

NEXUS forecast made 2026-10-16 at 72% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-11-15.

The US Treasury Supply Crisis game identifies investor demand for a higher term premium; LQD's supplied reference price is $103.50.

Probability: 72%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Nov 15in 30d
Made: Oct 16

Price Target$102.7

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

LQD will close at least 2% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $101.80).

market76%MISS

LQD (investment-grade corporate bond ETF) will close above $107.00 on at least one trading day within 30 days.

market53%MISS

Investment-grade credit ETF LQD will close below $103.50 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market55%MISS

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LQD will close below $102.70 on at least one trading day by November 15, 2026.

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