WFC will close at least 2.5% below its October 12, 2026 price on at least one trading day by November 11, 2026 (target below $81.46, 2.5% from $83.55 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-10-12 at 68% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-11-11.

Derived from: the Fed-rate-cycle game-theory scenario of a hawkish hold and volatility hedging, and the US Treasury supply scenario of higher term-premium demand.

Probability: 68%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Nov 11in 29d
Made: Oct 12

Price Target$81.46

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

WFC (Wells Fargo) will close at least 4% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $78.62, 4% from $81.90 at creation)

market85%MISS

Wells Fargo (WFC) will close at least 5% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $84.27, 5% from $88.71 at creation)

market70%HIT

Wells Fargo (WFC) will close at least 4% above its current price on at least one trading day within 7 days (target above $93.57, 4% from $89.97 at creation)

market26%

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WFC will close at least 2.5% below its October 12, 2026 price on at least one trading day by November 11, 2026 (target below $81.46, 2.5% from $83.55 at creation)

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