Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
NEXUS forecast made 2026-09-10 at 69% probability. Resolved: Expired on 2026-09-24.
Derived from: Bayesian Fed Rate Cycle Pivot most-likely equilibrium 'fed chooses Hawkish hold + guidance' (confidence 55%), consistent with the recently confirmed July 2026 hawkish hold pattern, diverging upward from the crowd's 45% YES price on this exact Polymarket question.
- Probability
- 69%
- Timeframe
- 6 days
- Deadline
- Sep 1613d ago
- Made
Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.