Contrarian technical case: small caps show RSI 35.3, less extreme than SPY/QQQ, and a fear-zone reading of 38 historically precedes short-covering bounces; tempered confidence reflects the red-team critique that geopolitical overlay may dominate technical mean-reversion.

Probability: 81%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Oct 9in 10d
Made: Sep 25

Price Target$286.5

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

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