GLD will close above $371.00 on at least one trading day by November 7, 2026.

NEXUS forecast made 2026-10-24 at 68% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-11-07.

The active thesis identifies a risk-off wartime regime, supporting safe-haven demand; its negative gold MACD histogram limits conviction.

Probability: 68%
Timeframe: 14 days
Deadline: Nov 7in 14d
Made: Oct 24

Price Target$371

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

GLD will close above $401.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market85%MISS

GLD will close at least 2.5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $402.70, 2.5% from $392.88 at creation)

market85%MISS

GLD will close above $412 on at least one trading day within 30 days as safe-haven demand builds around the October 7 and 1973 Oil Embargo anniversary risk window.

market85%MISS

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GLD will close above $371.00 on at least one trading day by November 7, 2026.

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