LMT will close at least 3% above its price at prediction creation on at least one trading day by November 9, 2026 (target above $524.88, 3% from $509.59 at creation)

NEXUS forecast made 2026-10-10 at 60% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-11-09.

Derived from: the active Russia-Ukraine wartime backdrop and the Bayesian Taiwan Strait analysis's 53% escalation probability, both of which directly bear on defense-equity exposure.

Probability: 60%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Nov 9in 27d
Made: Oct 10

Price Target$524.88

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

LMT (Lockheed Martin) will close at least 4% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $545.67, 4% from $524.68 at creation)

market83%MISS

Lockheed Martin (LMT) will close at least 4% below its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target below $514.70, 4% from $536.15 at creation)

market36%MISS

LMT will close at least 4% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $546.29, 4% from $525.28 at creation)

market45%

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LMT will close at least 3% above its price at prediction creation on at least one trading day by November 9, 2026 (target above $524.88, 3% from $509.59 at creation)

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