GLD will close above $366.00 on December 4, 2026.

NEXUS forecast made 2026-11-04 at 45% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-12-04.

The active thesis identifies wartime risk-off conditions, which support safe-haven demand; gold’s RSI of 43.5 and negative MACD histogram limit conviction.

Probability: 45%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Dec 4in 30d
Made: Nov 4

Price Target$366

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

GLD will close above $371.00 on at least one trading day by November 7, 2026.

market68%HIT

GLD will close above $401.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market85%MISS

GLD will close at least 2.5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $402.70, 2.5% from $392.88 at creation)

market85%MISS

GLD will close above $412 on at least one trading day within 30 days as safe-haven demand builds around the October 7 and 1973 Oil Embargo anniversary risk window.

market85%MISS

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Track Record

Market

LONGGLDPending

GLD will close above $366.00 on December 4, 2026.

NEXUS forecast made 2026-11-04 at 45% probability. Pending, resolves by 2026-12-04.

The active thesis identifies wartime risk-off conditions, which support safe-haven demand; gold’s RSI of 43.5 and negative MACD histogram limit conviction.

Probability: 45%
Timeframe: 30 days
Deadline: Dec 4in 30d
Made: Nov 4

Price Target$366

Regimewartime

Every NEXUS forecast is recorded before its outcome and scored with the Brier score (0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip). Misses stay on the record. How forecasts are made and scored.

GLD will close above $371.00 on at least one trading day by November 7, 2026.

market68%HIT

GLD will close above $401.00 on at least one trading day within 14 days.

market85%MISS

GLD will close at least 2.5% above its current price on at least one trading day within 14 days (target above $402.70, 2.5% from $392.88 at creation)

market85%MISS

GLD will close above $412 on at least one trading day within 30 days as safe-haven demand builds around the October 7 and 1973 Oil Embargo anniversary risk window.

market85%MISS

See the full intelligence picture

This forecast came from multi-layer signal analysis. Access the platform to see the signals, analysis and evidence behind every call.

Start Free Trial View Track Record

Weekly Intelligence Brief

Free geopolitical-market analysis. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.

GLD will close above $366.00 on December 4, 2026.

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See the full intelligence picture

GLD will close above $366.00 on December 4, 2026.

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See the full intelligence picture